Matchup Machine

DJ LeMahieu

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matchup for Yonny Chirinos

281st out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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Yonny Chirinos

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matchup for DJ LeMahieu

134th out of 567 (Best 24%)

Strong advantage for LeMahieu
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Model Prediction

DJ LeMahieu has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 2.5% higher than LeMahieu's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Chirinos.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.8%26.3%2.1%3.9%20.3%9.5%13.8%
LeMahieu+2.5+1.1+0.2-0.6+1.5+1.4-3.4
Chirinos+1.6+2.5-0.9-1.3+4.7-0.8-5.7

Handedness and Release Point

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DJ LeMahieu is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. LeMahieu has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. DJ LeMahieu has a C+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Splitter (R)
20%

Contact and Outcomes

10.3% of DJ LeMahieu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.2% -7.8% 3%         Walk +2.1% -0.6% 37%         In Play +5.1% +8.3% 39%         On Base +6.1% +2.3% 31%         Hit +3.9% +2.9% 14%         Single +2.6% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +2.5% +1.4% 3%         Home Run -1.2% +0.4%

History

DJ LeMahieu has 3 plate appearances against Yonny Chirinos in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual311001021.000
Expected From Contact →0.760.000.000.760.761
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-05Walk
2023-05-05Walk
2023-05-05Single76%24%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.