Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

DJ LeMahieu

matchup for Zach Eflin

369th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

Zach Eflin

matchup for DJ LeMahieu

253rd out of 564 (Best 46%)

Strong advantage for LeMahieu

DJ LeMahieu has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 1.2% lower than LeMahieu's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Eflin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	27.0%	2.2%	5.5%	19.3%	5.0%	13.0%
LeMahieu	-1.2	+1.8	+0.3	+1.0	+0.6	-3.0	-4.2
Eflin	+2.6	+3.9	-1.0	-0.1	+4.9	-1.3	-6.6

DJ LeMahieu is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. LeMahieu has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. DJ LeMahieu has a C+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

33%

Curve (R)

19%

Cutter (R)

16%

Slider (R)

13%

4-Seam (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

12% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. DJ LeMahieu has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

35% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. DJ LeMahieu has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 35%

+20%

Just Gravity 31%

+17%

Extreme Slow Velo 17%

+12%

10.3% of DJ LeMahieu's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.2% 0.0% 3%

Walk +2.1% -4.0% 37%

In Play +5.1% +4.0% 39%

On Base +6.1% -3.7% 31%

Hit +3.9% +0.2% 14%

Single +2.6% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B +2.5% +0.0% 3%

Home Run -1.2% +0.1%

42.9% of DJ LeMahieu's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.5% higher than the league average. Zach Eflin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.4% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.5% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.6% -0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.4% -0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.3% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% 0.0% 3%

Likely Homer -1.9% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.7% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -2.3% +0.4%

29.3% of DJ LeMahieu's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.4% +1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.1% +1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.3% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.0% +1.4%

7.5% of DJ LeMahieu's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +7.2% +1.7% 12%

-10 to 0° +3.0% +1.0% 8%

1 to 6° +1.3% -0.1% 18%

7 to 18° +2.0% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° -1.4% -1.1% 11%

29 to 38° -3.9% -0.3% 7%

39 to 50° -3.2% +1.8% 8%

Above 50° -4.8% -0.8%

DJ LeMahieu has 13 plate appearances against Zach Eflin in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 13 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	13	13	3	1	0	2	3	0	0.231
Expected From Contact →			2.86	0.83	0.21	1.82			0.220

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-19	GIDP		17%	25%	58%
2024-07-19	Flyout				99%
2024-07-10	Hit By Pitch
2024-07-10	Strikeout
2024-07-10	Groundout			4%	96%
2023-08-25	Single			48%	52%
2023-08-25	Home Run	83%	3%		14%
2023-08-25	Lineout			2%	97%
2023-08-01	Groundout			3%	97%
2023-08-01	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-05-14	Single			95%	5%
2023-05-14	Strikeout
2023-05-14	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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