Matchup Machine

DJ LeMahieu

Worst 7% of matchups for Yusei Kikuchi

Yusei Kikuchi

Worst 45% of matchups for DJ LeMahieu

Strong advantage for LeMahieu

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.4%	4.8%	16.8%	10.4%	25.4%
MLB (+/-)	-0.4	+0.5	+2.9	+0.7	+0.1
LeMahieu	+0.3	+0.1	+1.5	-1.8	+2.5
Kikuchi	-0.5	+0.5	+1.8	+2.3	-3.8

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.4%

4.8%

16.8%

10.4%

25.4%

MLB (+/-)

-0.4

+0.5

+2.9

+0.7

+0.1

LeMahieu

+0.3

+0.1

+1.5

-1.8

+2.5

Kikuchi

-0.5

+0.5

+1.8

+2.3

-3.8

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	22	20	6	0	2	4	4	2	.300
Expected From Contact →			4.65	0.65	0.95	3.05			.232

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Walk
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Single			40%	59%
2023-04-21	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-04-21	Caught Stealing 2B
2023-04-21	Groundout			3%	97%
2022-06-19	Groundout			26%	74%
2022-06-19	Lineout		7%	3%	90%
2022-05-10	Strikeout
2022-05-10	Double	49%	37%	10%	4%
2022-05-10	Groundout		11%	15%	74%
2022-05-04	Strikeout
2022-05-04	Groundout			11%	89%
2022-05-04	Single			83%	17%
2022-04-12	Double		24%	9%	66%
2022-04-12	Single			5%	95%
2021-08-08	Groundout			21%	78%
2021-08-08	Strikeout
2021-08-08	Single		11%	60%	29%
2021-07-07	Groundout			13%	87%
2021-07-07	Walk
2021-07-07	Flyout	15%	4%		81%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	35%	45	RHB vs LHP	87	79%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

35%

RHB vs LHP

79%

⭐

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	24%	79	Breaking	69	45%
	35%	14	Fastball	91	45%	⭐⭐
	5%	74	Offspeed	50	10%
			------------------
	34%	10	Four-Seam FB	69	45%	⭐
⭐	49%	82	Slider	38	27%
	47%	48	Curveball	82	18%
	45%	77	Changeup	44	10%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

24%

Breaking

45%

35%

Fastball

45%

⭐⭐

Offspeed

10%

------------------

34%

Four-Seam FB

45%

⭐

49%

Slider

27%

47%

Curveball

18%

45%

Changeup

10%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
45%	23	Bottom of zone	70	14%	⭐
37%	2	Away / Arm Side	100	11%	⭐⭐
61%	52	Top of zone	77	10%
54%	65	In / Glove Side	68	10%
66%	61	Middle	36	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

45%

Bottom of zone

14%

⭐

37%

Away / Arm Side

100

11%

⭐⭐

61%

Top of zone

10%

54%

In / Glove Side

10%

66%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
29%	64	Below the zone	90	35%
16%	30	Away / Arm Side	54	27%
28%	29	In / Glove Side	118	24%	⭐⭐
36%	22	Above the zone	74	23%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

29%

Below the zone

35%

16%

Away / Arm Side

27%

28%

In / Glove Side

118

24%

⭐⭐

36%

Above the zone

23%

⭐

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
60%	52	2 Strikes	69	30%
51%	60	Batter Behind	79	30%
36%	39	Batter Ahead	85	26%	⭐
17%	8	First Pitch	83	25%	⭐⭐
48%	46	3 Balls	77	8%
70%	78	Full Count	59	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

60%

2 Strikes

30%

51%

Batter Behind

30%

36%

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐

17%

First Pitch

25%

⭐⭐

48%

3 Balls

70%

Full Count