Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jason Heyward

matchup for Zach Penrod

122nd out of 436 (Best 29%)

Zach Penrod

matchup for Jason Heyward

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Heyward

Jason Heyward has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Zach Penrod, which is 2.3% higher than Heyward's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Penrod.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.6%	21.9%	2.5%	5.2%	14.1%	10.7%	21.3%
Heyward	+2.3	-0.7	+0.1	+0.6	-1.5	+3.1	-0.7
Penrod	-2.4	-0.1	-0.5	-0.5	+0.8	-2.3	-1.7

Jason Heyward is worse vs left-handed pitching. Zach Penrod is left handed .

Zach Penrod throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Jason Heyward has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

45%

Changeup (L)

30%

Slider (L)

24%

17% of Zach Penrod's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 17%

+5%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 2%

-3%

Edge Painter 12%

-6%

38% of Zach Penrod's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 38%

+25%

Fast Velo 34%

+24%

Medium Break 37%

+18%

Offspeed (L) 30%

+18%

12.6% of Jason Heyward's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Zach Penrod strikes out 12.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% -10.5% 5%

Walk -1.6% +13.9% 38%

In Play +4.9% -3.4% 39%

On Base -1.7% +6.9% 31%

Hit -0.1% -7.0% 14%

Single -0.2% -2.2% 13%

2B / 3B +0.0% -1.8% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -2.9%

34.6% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Zach Penrod induces Standard Grounders at a 42.4% rate, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.2% +8.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +5.0% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.4% +3.3% 3%

Pop up +0.4% +7.7%

25.1% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 19.0% of batted balls allowed by Zach Penrod are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.2% +3.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +5.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% +0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.7% -3.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% -5.3%

11.2% of Jason Heyward's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Zach Penrod are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%