Matchup Machine

Jason Heyward

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matchup for Dustin May

235th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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Dustin May

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matchup for Jason Heyward

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Heyward
2

Model Prediction

Jason Heyward has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Dustin May, which is 1.3% higher than Heyward's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing May.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%24.5%2.3%4.0%18.2%7.2%18.9%
Heyward+1.3+1.9-0.1-0.6+2.6-0.5-3.2
May-0.4+0.3-0.2-0.4+1.0-0.8-4.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jason Heyward is better vs right-handed pitching. Dustin May is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dustin May throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Jason Heyward has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
42%
   Cutter (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
17%
   4-Seam (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Jason Heyward's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Dustin May strikes out 21.6% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% +7.8% 5%         Walk -1.6% -3.5% 38%         In Play +4.9% -4.2% 39%         On Base -1.7% -4.8% 31%         Hit -0.1% -1.2% 14%         Single -0.2% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +0.0% +0.1% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -2.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years