Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jason Heyward

matchup for Cole Winn

125th out of 436 (Best 29%)

Cole Winn

matchup for Jason Heyward

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Heyward

Jason Heyward has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 2.1% higher than Heyward's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Winn.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.4%	24.4%	2.5%	5.0%	16.9%	8.0%	19.9%
Heyward	+2.1	+1.8	+0.1	+0.4	+1.3	+0.3	-2.2
Winn	-2.0	-0.4	-0.3	-1.1	+1.0	-1.5	-1.2

Jason Heyward is better vs right-handed pitching. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Heyward has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Jason Heyward has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Slider (R)

27%

Splitter (R)

18%

Sinker (R)

15% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

37% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 37%

+17%

Medium Slow Velo 29%

+16%

Small Drop 22%

+9%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+9%

12.6% of Jason Heyward's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% -4.3% 5%

Walk -1.6% -3.6% 38%

In Play +4.9% +7.9% 39%

On Base -1.7% +6.4% 31%

Hit -0.1% +10.0% 14%

Single -0.2% +5.6% 13%

2B / 3B +0.0% +6.0% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -1.5%

34.6% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Cole Winn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.7% rate, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.2% -1.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer +5.0% +2.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% -3.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.4% +5.0% 3%

Pop up +0.4% -1.3%

25.1% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.2% -6.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +6.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.7% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% -0.7%

11.2% of Jason Heyward's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%