Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jason Heyward

matchup for Logan Allen

219th out of 436 (Best 51%)

Logan Allen

matchup for Jason Heyward

23rd out of 567 (Best 5%)

Strong advantage for Heyward

Jason Heyward has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 4.3% higher than Heyward's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Allen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.5%	27.1%	2.4%	6.2%	18.5%	7.5%	15.8%
Heyward	+4.3	+4.5	+0.1	+1.6	+2.8	-0.2	-6.3
Allen	-0.5	+1.0	-0.4	+0.3	+1.2	-1.5	-1.8

Jason Heyward is worse vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Heyward has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jason Heyward has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

38%

Slider (L)

28%

Changeup (L)

14%

Curve (L)

Cutter (L)

21% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

33% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 33%

+17%

Medium Break 33%

+14%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

12.6% of Jason Heyward's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% -2.6% 5%

Walk -1.6% +1.3% 38%

In Play +4.9% +1.3% 39%

On Base -1.7% +6.7% 31%

Hit -0.1% +5.4% 14%

Single -0.2% +2.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.0% +3.1% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -0.5%

34.6% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Logan Allen induces Standard Grounders at a 35.1% rate, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.2% +0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer +5.0% -2.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +3.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.4% +0.0% 3%

Pop up +0.4% -0.7%

25.1% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 27.0% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.2% -3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +1.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.7% -2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% +2.7%

11.2% of Jason Heyward's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%