Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jason Heyward

matchup for Felix Bautista

154th out of 436 (Best 36%)

Felix Bautista

matchup for Jason Heyward

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Bautista

Jason Heyward has a 26.7% chance of reaching base vs Felix Bautista, which is 3.6% lower than Heyward's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Bautista.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.7%	16.7%	2.2%	2.8%	11.8%	9.9%	33.8%
Heyward	-3.6	-5.9	-0.2	-1.8	-3.9	+2.2	+11.7
Bautista	-2.4	+0.3	-0.4	-0.2	+0.9	-2.7	-2.0

Jason Heyward is better vs right-handed pitching. Felix Bautista is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Heyward has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Felix Bautista throws a 4-seam fastball 65% of the time. Jason Heyward has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

65%

Splitter (R)

25%

Slider (R)

10% of Felix Bautista's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 10%

+5%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Meatball 2%

-5%

Weak Challenge 3%

-5%

54% of Felix Bautista's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 51% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 54%

+51%

Medium Break 67%

+48%

Extreme Ride 47%

+43%

Offspeed (R) 25%

+14%

Fastball (R) 66%

+12%

12.6% of Jason Heyward's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Felix Bautista strikes out 25.5% of the batters he faces, which is 19.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% +19.3% 5%

Walk -1.6% +2.3% 38%

In Play +4.9% -21.6% 39%

On Base -1.7% -10.2% 31%

Hit -0.1% -12.5% 14%

Single -0.2% -5.8% 13%

2B / 3B +0.0% -5.4% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -1.3%

34.6% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Felix Bautista induces Standard Grounders at a 34.5% rate, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.2% +0.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -2.4% 14%

Low Screamer +5.0% +0.3% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% -3.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% +2.9% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.4% -0.6% 3%

Pop up +0.4% +5.6%

25.1% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 16.6% of batted balls allowed by Felix Bautista are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.2% +2.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +5.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% -1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.7% +1.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% -7.7%

11.2% of Jason Heyward's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 10.8% of batted balls allowed by Felix Bautista are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%