Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jason Heyward

matchup for Zack Wheeler

123rd out of 436 (Best 29%)

Zack Wheeler

matchup for Jason Heyward

557th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Extreme advantage for Wheeler

Jason Heyward has a 23.6% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 6.7% lower than Heyward's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Wheeler.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	23.6%	17.5%	2.0%	3.7%	11.8%	6.1%	30.2%
Heyward	-6.7	-5.1	-0.3	-0.9	-3.9	-1.6	+8.1
Wheeler	-2.3	-0.3	-0.4	-0.8	+1.0	-2.0	-2.2

Jason Heyward is better vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Heyward has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Jason Heyward has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

42%

Slider (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

19%

Curve (R)

11%

13% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

32% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 32%

+17%

Fastball (R) 64%

+11%

12.6% of Jason Heyward's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% +7.9% 5%

Walk -1.6% -2.6% 38%

In Play +4.9% -5.3% 39%

On Base -1.7% -6.2% 31%

Hit -0.1% -3.6% 14%

Single -0.2% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.0% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -1.0%

34.6% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Zack Wheeler induces Standard Grounders at a 41.6% rate, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.2% +7.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer +5.0% +1.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.4% -4.7% 3%

Pop up +0.4% +0.7%

25.1% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 21.7% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.2% +5.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.7% -3.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% -2.6%

11.2% of Jason Heyward's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%