Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jason Heyward

matchup for Martin Perez

72nd out of 436 (Best 17%)

Martin Perez

matchup for Jason Heyward

123rd out of 567 (Best 23%)

Moderate advantage for Heyward

Jason Heyward has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.4% higher than Heyward's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Perez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.7%	23.7%	2.8%	4.6%	16.3%	8.0%	17.5%
Heyward	+1.4	+1.1	+0.5	0.0	+0.6	+0.3	-4.6
Perez	-2.9	-1.6	-0.2	-0.8	-0.7	-1.3	-0.9

Jason Heyward is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Heyward has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Jason Heyward has an F grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

34%

Changeup (L)

25%

Cutter (L)

25%

4-Seam (L)

Curve (L)

22% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 15%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

62% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 38% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 62%

+38%

Extreme Break 34%

+19%

Offspeed (L) 25%

+13%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Medium Velo 24%

+10%

12.6% of Jason Heyward's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% -6.1% 5%

Walk -1.6% -0.3% 38%

In Play +4.9% +6.4% 39%

On Base -1.7% +5.9% 31%

Hit -0.1% +6.3% 14%

Single -0.2% +3.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.0% +3.3% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -0.6%

34.6% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Martin Perez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.9% rate, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.2% +4.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer +5.0% +0.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.4% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +0.4% -0.9%

25.1% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 25.2% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.2% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +2.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.7% -2.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% +0.9%

11.2% of Jason Heyward's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%