Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jason Heyward

matchup for Chris Sale

295th out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Chris Sale

matchup for Jason Heyward

397th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Leans in favor of Sale

Jason Heyward has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Chris Sale, which is 0.7% lower than Heyward's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Sale.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.6%	22.8%	2.3%	6.0%	14.4%	7.8%	28.8%
Heyward	-0.7	+0.8	-0.3	+1.3	-0.3	-1.5	+6.6
Sale	+0.4	+0.6	+0.1	+0.3	+0.2	-0.2	-4.2

Jason Heyward is worse vs left-handed pitching. Chris Sale is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Heyward has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Sale throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Jason Heyward has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

39%

Slider (L)

38%

Changeup (L)

15%

8% of Chris Sale's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-4%

46% of Chris Sale's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 46%

+30%

Large Drop 28%

+23%

Extreme Slow Velo 22%

+13%

Breaking (L) 38%

+8%

12.4% of Jason Heyward's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. Chris Sale strikes out 23.3% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -3.7% +11.2% 5%

Walk -1.4% -2.1% 37%

In Play +5.2% -9.0% 39%

On Base -0.6% -4.7% 31%

Hit +0.8% -2.6% 14%

Single +0.1% -0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.4% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -0.7%

34.4% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. Chris Sale induces Standard Grounders at a 35.4% rate, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.0% +1.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer +5.2% +1.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% +0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.4% -0.2% 3%

Pop up +0.4% -0.5%

25.1% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Chris Sale are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% +2.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% +3.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.8% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% -2.8%

11.4% of Jason Heyward's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. 13.3% of batted balls allowed by Chris Sale are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%