Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jason Heyward

matchup for Wade Miley

78th out of 436 (Best 19%)

Wade Miley

matchup for Jason Heyward

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Heyward

Jason Heyward has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Wade Miley, which is 3.9% higher than Heyward's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Miley.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.2%	26.4%	2.5%	3.9%	20.1%	7.8%	16.4%
Heyward	+3.9	+3.8	+0.1	-0.7	+4.4	+0.1	-5.7
Miley	-2.3	-0.4	-0.5	-1.0	+1.1	-1.9	-1.6

Jason Heyward is worse vs left-handed pitching. Wade Miley is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Heyward has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Wade Miley throws a Cutter 44% of the time. Jason Heyward hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (L)

44%

Changeup (L)

23%

4-Seam (L)

16%

Curve (L)

24% of Wade Miley's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 24%

+4%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

35% of Wade Miley's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Jason Heyward has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 35%

+22%

Small Break 25%

+15%

Medium Slow Velo 27%

+13%

Offspeed (L) 23%

+11%

12.6% of Jason Heyward's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Wade Miley strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.3% -1.5% 5%

Walk -1.6% +0.0% 38%

In Play +4.9% +1.5% 39%

On Base -1.7% -0.5% 31%

Hit -0.1% -0.5% 14%

Single -0.2% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B +0.0% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -1.2%

34.6% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Wade Miley induces Standard Grounders at a 43.9% rate, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.2% +9.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer +5.0% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.9% -2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% -0.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.4% -3.0% 3%

Pop up +0.4% -0.3%

25.1% of Jason Heyward's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Wade Miley are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.2% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.7% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% +5.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.7% -4.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% -2.8%

11.2% of Jason Heyward's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Wade Miley are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%