Matchup Machine

Yasmani Grandal

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matchup for Jake Irvin

372nd out of 436 (Worst 15%)

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Jake Irvin

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matchup for Yasmani Grandal

79th out of 567 (Best 15%)

Extreme advantage for Grandal
9

Model Prediction

Yasmani Grandal has a 37.4% chance of reaching base vs Jake Irvin, which is 3.1% higher than Grandal's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Irvin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.4%24.9%2.4%6.0%16.4%12.6%16.7%
Grandal+3.1+2.9+0.1+0.9+1.9+0.2-5.0
Irvin+3.4+0.4-0.7+0.6+0.5+3.1-3.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Yasmani Grandal is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Jake Irvin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Grandal has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jake Irvin throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Yasmani Grandal has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
36%
   Curve (R)
31%
   Sinker (R)
26%

Contact and Outcomes

12.1% of Yasmani Grandal's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% lower than the league average. Jake Irvin strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.1% -4.3% 3%         Walk +2.0% -0.5% 39%         In Play +2.1% +4.8% 39%         On Base +2.2% +1.3% 31%         Hit +0.2% +1.9% 14%         Single -0.3% +0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +1.1%

History

Yasmani Grandal has 2 plate appearances against Jake Irvin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual211001011.000
Expected From Contact →0.490.000.000.490.494
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-05Walk
2024-09-05Single49%51%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.