Matchup Machine

Yasmani Grandal

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

291st out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Yasmani Grandal

436th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Grandal
2

Model Prediction

Yasmani Grandal has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.2% higher than Grandal's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.5%18.0%1.8%3.9%12.3%16.5%24.9%
Grandal+0.2-3.9-0.5-1.2-2.2+4.2+3.2
Schmidt+2.6-1.6-0.6-0.2-0.8+4.10.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Yasmani Grandal is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Grandal has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Yasmani Grandal has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

12.1% of Yasmani Grandal's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.1% +0.3% 3%         Walk +2.0% +1.6% 39%         In Play +2.1% -1.9% 39%         On Base +2.2% -0.3% 31%         Hit +0.2% -2.0% 14%         Single -0.3% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.5% 0.0%

History

Yasmani Grandal has 3 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.020.000.020.000.008
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-08Flyout2%98%
2023-08-08Hit By Pitch
2022-05-14Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.