Matchup Machine

Yasmani Grandal

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matchup for Sandy Alcantara

357th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Sandy Alcantara

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matchup for Yasmani Grandal

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Grandal
5

Model Prediction

Yasmani Grandal has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 0.7% higher than Grandal's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Alcantara.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%21.3%2.2%4.9%14.3%13.7%24.4%
Grandal+0.7-0.7-0.1-0.3-0.3+1.4+2.7
Alcantara+2.8-0.6-0.2+0.0-0.4+3.4-2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Yasmani Grandal is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Grandal has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Yasmani Grandal has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Slider (R)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

12.1% of Yasmani Grandal's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% lower than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.1% +2.6% 3%         Walk +2.0% -0.7% 39%         In Play +2.1% -1.9% 39%         On Base +2.2% -4.1% 31%         Hit +0.2% -3.3% 14%         Single -0.3% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -1.4%

History

Yasmani Grandal has 3 plate appearances against Sandy Alcantara in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010000.333
Expected From Contact →1.610.000.341.270.537
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-10Double32%22%46%
2023-06-10Groundout1%68%31%
2023-06-10Groundout37%62%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.