Matchup Machine

Yasmani Grandal

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

248th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Yasmani Grandal

53rd out of 567 (Best 10%)

Extreme advantage for Grandal
10

Model Prediction

Yasmani Grandal has a 39.0% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 4.7% higher than Grandal's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.0%27.4%1.9%5.8%19.7%11.6%16.6%
Grandal+4.7+5.5-0.4+0.7+5.2-0.7-5.2
Stroman+1.4-1.5-0.80.0-0.6+2.9-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Yasmani Grandal is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Grandal has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Yasmani Grandal has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.1% of Yasmani Grandal's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.1% -3.1% 3%         Walk +2.0% -0.8% 39%         In Play +2.1% +3.9% 39%         On Base +2.2% +3.0% 31%         Hit +0.2% +3.8% 14%         Single -0.3% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -1.1%

History

Yasmani Grandal has 3 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001000.333
Expected From Contact →1.580.000.061.520.527
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-05-29Flyout99%
2022-05-29Lineout4%57%39%
2022-05-29Single1%95%4%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.