Matchup Machine

      Yasmani Grandal

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      matchup for Kyle Gibson

      302nd out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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      Kyle Gibson

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      matchup for Yasmani Grandal

      161st out of 564 (Best 29%)

      Strong advantage for Grandal
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      Model Prediction

      Yasmani Grandal has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Gibson, which is 1.4% higher than Grandal's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Gibson.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Yasmani Grandal is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Kyle Gibson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Grandal has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Kyle Gibson throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Yasmani Grandal has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      28%
         Slider (R)
      19%
         Cutter (R)
      19%
         4-Seam (R)
      13%
         Changeup (R)
      13%
         Curve (R)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.1% of Yasmani Grandal's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% lower than the league average. Kyle Gibson strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.1% -2.5% 3%         Walk +2.0% -0.1% 39%         In Play +2.1% +2.6% 39%         On Base +2.2% +3.0% 31%         Hit +0.2% +3.1% 14%         Single -0.3% +1.7% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +1.9% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.4%

      History

      Yasmani Grandal has 7 plate appearances against Kyle Gibson in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 7 with a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual773012000.429
      Expected From Contact →2.770.000.752.020.396
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-07-02Lineout1%66%33%
      2024-07-02GIDP3%97%
      2023-08-30Flyout1%99%
      2023-08-30Single28%71%
      2023-04-15Single11%78%11%
      2023-04-15Lineout6%22%72%
      2023-04-15Double54%5%41%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.