Matchup Machine

      Freddie Freeman

      sometext

      matchup for Garrett Crochet

      411st out of 436 (Worst 6%)

      sometext

      Garrett Crochet

      sometext

      matchup for Freddie Freeman

      525th out of 567 (Worst 8%)

      Moderate advantage for Freeman
      3

      Model Prediction

      Freddie Freeman has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.9% lower than Freeman's typical expectations, and 3.0% higher than batters facing Crochet.

      Handedness and Release Point

      Click on a grade for a detailed view

      Freddie Freeman is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Freeman has an A grade vs this particular release point.

      Left Arrow
      Show Vertical Release

      On the Way to the Plate

      Click on a grade for a detailed view

      Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Freddie Freeman has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      58%
         Cutter (L)
      18%
         Slider (L)
      16%
         Changeup (L)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      8.7% of Freddie Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.0% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.0% +9.4% 4%         Walk +1.0% -1.3% 36%         In Play +8.9% -8.1% 39%         On Base +8.1% -3.9% 31%         Hit +7.1% -2.5% 14%         Single +2.1% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +0.1%

      History

      Freddie Freeman has 5 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 5 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual553003100.600
      Expected From Contact →0.290.030.010.250.059
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-06-24Single7%93%
      2024-06-24Single14%86%
      2024-06-24Groundout4%96%
      2023-06-15Single3%96%
      2023-06-13Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.