Matchup Machine

Freddie Freeman

Worst 6% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 14% of matchups for Freddie Freeman

Extreme advantage for Freeman

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.2%	5.1%	17.3%	5.8%	11.0%
MLB (+/-)	+1.4	+0.8	+3.4	-4.0	-14.2
Freeman	+0.9	+0.1	+1.5	-2.1	-6.4
Gomber	+0.9	+0.7	+1.1	-2.1	-5.3

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.2%

5.1%

17.3%

5.8%

11.0%

MLB (+/-)

+1.4

+0.8

+3.4

-4.0

-14.2

Freeman

+0.9

+0.1

+1.5

-2.1

-6.4

Gomber

+0.9

+0.7

+1.1

-2.1

-5.3

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	3	1	1	1	0	0	.500
Expected From Contact →			2.77	0.75	0.34	1.68			.461

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-11	Single			90%	10%
2023-08-11	Flyout	16%	5%		79%
2023-08-11	Flyout		7%		92%
2022-10-05	Double			33%	67%
2022-10-05	Home Run	58%	19%		22%
2022-07-28	Groundout		1%	44%	55%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	57%	90	LHB vs LHP	22	20%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

57%

LHB vs LHP

20%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	56%	114	Fastball	16	45%
⭐	31%	61	Breaking	-26	37%
⭐⭐	14%	101	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐⭐	55%	121	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
	52%	57	Slider	-6	20%
⭐⭐	51%	99	Changeup	0	18%
	58%	52	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

56%

114

Fastball

45%

⭐

31%

Breaking

-26

37%

⭐⭐

14%

101

Offspeed

18%

------------------

⭐⭐

55%

121

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

52%

Slider

-6

20%

⭐⭐

51%

Changeup

18%

58%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	66%	63	Away / Glove Side	38	17%
⭐	80%	71	Bottom of zone	13	13%
	78%	59	Top of zone	-3	12%
	89%	77	Middle	45	7%
⭐	84%	100	In / Arm Side	52	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

66%

Away / Glove Side

17%

⭐

80%

Bottom of zone

13%

78%

Top of zone

-3

12%

89%

Middle

⭐

84%

100

In / Arm Side

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	35%	54	Away / Glove Side	41	34%
⭐⭐	43%	112	Below the zone	22	30%
⭐⭐	29%	84	Above the zone	8	24%
	42%	57	In / Arm Side	19	10%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

35%

Away / Glove Side

34%

⭐⭐

43%

112

Below the zone

30%

⭐⭐

29%

Above the zone

24%

42%

In / Arm Side

10%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	45%	93	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐⭐	58%	102	Batter Behind	0	28%
⭐⭐	57%	100	Batter Ahead	4	26%
⭐⭐	71%	103	2 Strikes	-23	26%
	65%	24	3 Balls	2	8%
	76%	36	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

45%

First Pitch

28%

⭐⭐

58%

102

Batter Behind

28%

⭐⭐

57%

100

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐⭐

71%

103

2 Strikes

-23

26%

65%

3 Balls

76%

Full Count

-9