Matchup Machine

Freddie Freeman

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

382nd out of 436 (Worst 13%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Freddie Freeman

270th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Extreme advantage for Freeman
9

Model Prediction

Freddie Freeman has a 36.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 0.8% higher than Freeman's typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.1%23.6%3.5%4.9%15.2%12.5%16.9%
Freeman+0.8-1.9+0.3-1.0-1.1+2.7-0.6
Anderson+2.4+1.3+0.6-0.3+1.1+1.0-4.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Freddie Freeman is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Freeman has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Freddie Freeman has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

8.7% of Freddie Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.0% -1.9% 4%         Walk +1.0% -1.0% 36%         In Play +8.9% +2.9% 39%         On Base +8.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit +7.1% +0.9% 14%         Single +2.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +2.2% -0.2%

History

Freddie Freeman has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.000.000.003
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-07Strikeout
2023-07-07Pop Out99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.