Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Travis d'Arnaud

matchup for Alex Speas

122nd out of 436 (Best 29%)

Alex Speas

matchup for Travis d'Arnaud

out of 564 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of d'Arnaud

Travis d'Arnaud has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 2.1% higher than d'Arnaud's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.6%	19.6%	2.6%	4.5%	12.5%	13.0%	30.3%
d'Arnaud	+2.1	-1.9	-0.1	-0.6	-1.2	+3.9	+1.3
Speas	-1.3	-1.5	+0.1	-0.7	-0.9	+0.2	+5.9

Travis d'Arnaud is worse vs right-handed pitching. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. d'Arnaud has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Travis d'Arnaud has a D+ grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Travis d'Arnaud has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Travis d'Arnaud has a C grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

16.1% of Travis d'Arnaud's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.5% +19.9% 5%

Walk -1.4% -0.6% 40%

In Play -1.1% -19.3% 39%

On Base -3.1% -8.2% 31%

Hit -1.6% -7.6% 14%

Single -1.6% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% -5.2% 3%

Home Run +1.3% +3.3%

37.8% of Travis d'Arnaud's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.4% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.2% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.6% -7.4% 3%

Pop up -0.5% +8.5%

28.1% of Travis d'Arnaud's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.2% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.3% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.7% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.8% -10.5%

8.3% of Travis d'Arnaud's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%