matchup for Colin Rea
matchup for Travis d'Arnaud
8
Travis d'Arnaud has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Colin Rea, which is 2.5% higher than d'Arnaud's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Rea.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 33.1% | 26.1% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 15.6% | 6.9% | 21.8% |
| d'Arnaud | +2.5 | +4.6 | +1.0 | +1.8 | +1.9 | -2.1 | -7.3 |
| Rea | -1.1 | -0.6 | +0.6 | 0.0 | -1.2 | -0.4 | +3.8 |
Travis d'Arnaud is worse vs right-handed pitching. Colin Rea is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. d'Arnaud has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Colin Rea throws a Sinker 29% of the time. Travis d'Arnaud has a B+ grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
29%
Cutter (R)
22%
4-Seam (R)
21%
Slider (R)
13%
Splitter (R)
8%
Curve (R)
7%
10% of Colin Rea's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Travis d'Arnaud has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
10%
+2%
Meatball
8%
+2%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-1%
Chaser
4%
-2%
72% of Colin Rea's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Travis d'Arnaud has a C grade against this type of pitch from right handers.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Fastball (R)
72%
+18%
Medium Fast Velo
30%
+15%
Low Ride
37%
+13%
16.1% of Travis d'Arnaud's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Colin Rea strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+2.5%
-3.1%
5%
Walk
-1.4%
-1.6%
40%
In Play
-1.1%
+4.8%
39%
On Base
-3.1%
+0.8%
31%
Hit
-1.6%
+2.5%
14%
Single
-1.6%
+0.5%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.4%
+0.8%
3%
Home Run
+1.3%
+1.2%
37.8% of Travis d'Arnaud's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Colin Rea induces Standard Grounders at a 31.7% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.2%
+1.7%
34%
Standard Grounder
+3.4%
-2.8%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.2%
-2.3%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.6%
+3.2%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.5%
+1.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.8%
+0.6%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.2%
+2.1%
1%
No Doubter
+0.0%
-0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.6%
-2.6%
3%
Pop up
-0.5%
-0.8%
28.1% of Travis d'Arnaud's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Colin Rea are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.2%
-4.0%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.0%
-1.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.4%
-0.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+0.7%
+1.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
+3.8%
+3.6%
8.3% of Travis d'Arnaud's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 15.7% of batted balls allowed by Colin Rea are hit at this angle, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+2.5%
-1.0%
12%
-10 to 0°
+2.4%
+1.8%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.8%
-3.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.7%
+1.2%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.5%
-1.5%
11%
29 to 38°
-3.1%
+4.2%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.3%
+0.5%
8%
Above 50°
-1.1%
-2.1%
Travis d'Arnaud has 3 plate appearances against Colin Rea in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.57 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.38 | 0.192 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-08-06 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-08-06 | Groundout | 14% | 22% | 64% | |
| 2024-08-06 | Groundout | 6% | 16% | 78% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
