matchup for Aaron Nola
matchup for Travis d'Arnaud
5
Travis d'Arnaud has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.4% lower than d'Arnaud's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Nola.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 28.1% | 20.7% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 35.4% |
| d'Arnaud | -2.4 | -0.7 | 0.0 | +1.0 | -1.7 | -1.8 | +6.4 |
| Nola | -1.4 | -1.6 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -1.2 | +0.3 | +4.5 |
Travis d'Arnaud is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. d'Arnaud has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Travis d'Arnaud hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Kn-Curve (R)
30%
4-Seam (R)
30%
Sinker (R)
20%
Changeup (R)
12%
Cutter (R)
8%
16.1% of Travis d'Arnaud's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+2.5%
+6.3%
5%
Walk
-1.4%
-2.8%
40%
In Play
-1.1%
-3.5%
39%
On Base
-3.1%
-4.8%
31%
Hit
-1.6%
-2.0%
14%
Single
-1.6%
-0.8%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.4%
-0.7%
3%
Home Run
+1.3%
-0.5%
Travis d'Arnaud has 31 plate appearances against Aaron Nola in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 30 with 3 doubles and a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 31 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0.167 |
| Expected From Contact → | 6.44 | 0.10 | 2.84 | 3.49 | 0.215 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-01 | Single | 38% | 25% | 36% | |
| 2024-09-01 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-09-01 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-07-05 | Groundout | 16% | 84% | ||
| 2024-07-05 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-03-30 | Flyout | 100% | |||
| 2024-03-30 | Double | 71% | 28% | ||
| 2023-10-11 | Groundout | 9% | 91% | ||
| 2023-10-11 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-10-11 | Flyout | 100% | |||
| 2023-06-22 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-06-22 | Lineout | 2% | 3% | 96% | |
| 2022-10-14 | Groundout | 4% | 96% | ||
| 2022-10-14 | Forceout | 4% | 96% | ||
| 2022-10-14 | Double | 42% | 28% | 29% | |
| 2022-09-23 | Lineout | 40% | 7% | 53% | |
| 2022-09-23 | Single | 93% | 6% | ||
| 2022-09-23 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-09-17 | Walk | ||||
| 2022-09-17 | Double | 5% | 83% | 4% | 8% |
| 2022-09-17 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
| 2022-07-26 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-07-26 | Flyout | 99% | |||
| 2022-07-26 | Groundout | 36% | 64% | ||
| 2022-06-30 | Forceout | 68% | 32% | ||
| 2022-06-30 | Groundout | 4% | 96% | ||
| 2022-06-30 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-06-30 | Groundout | 6% | 94% | ||
| 2022-05-26 | Flyout | 4% | 2% | 94% | |
| 2022-05-26 | Groundout | 15% | 85% | ||
| 2022-05-26 | Flyout | 3% | 96% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
Chaser
Edge Painter
Fringe Miss
Mid Challenge
Strong Challenge
Weak Challenge
Likely Ball
Meatball
Non-Competitive
Extreme Drop
Extreme Slow Velo
Large Break
Squib/Bunt
Standard Grounder
Hard Grounder
Low Screamer
Rising Liner
Maybe Homer
Likely Homer
No Doubter
Routine Flyout
Pop up
Below 75 mph
75 to 86 mph
87 to 93 mph
94 to 99 mph
Above 100 mph
Below -10°
-10 to 0°
1 to 6°
7 to 18°
19 to 28°
29 to 38°
39 to 50°
Above 50°