Starling Marte has a 38.4% chance of reaching base vs Zach Brzykcy, which is 5.5% higher than Marte's typical expectations, and 3.5% higher than batters facing Brzykcy.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 38.4% | 30.4% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 19.4% | 8.0% | 18.9% |
Marte | +5.5 | +4.3 | +0.9 | +2.3 | +1.0 | +1.2 | -4.5 |
Brzykcy | +3.5 | +7.0 | +0.5 | +1.4 | +5.1 | -3.5 | -2.7 |
Starling Marte is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zach Brzykcy is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Marte has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Zach Brzykcy throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Starling Marte has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
13.8% of Starling Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Zach Brzykcy strikes out 12.7% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Starling Marte has 2 plate appearances against Zach Brzykcy in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.040 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-09-18 | Groundout | 5% | 95% | ||
2024-09-17 | Flyout | 2% | 97% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.