Matchup Machine

Starling Marte

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matchup for Penn Murfee

339th out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Penn Murfee

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matchup for Starling Marte

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Marte
1

Model Prediction

Starling Marte has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Penn Murfee, which is 1.7% lower than Marte's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Murfee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.3%23.9%2.8%4.8%16.2%7.4%27.7%
Marte-1.7-2.3+0.1-0.3-2.1+0.6+4.2
Murfee+1.4+4.2+0.3+0.6+3.3-2.8+0.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Starling Marte is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Penn Murfee is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Marte has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Penn Murfee throws a Slider 52% of the time. Starling Marte has a B+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   4-Seam (R)
41%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Starling Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Penn Murfee strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.4% +8.1% 5%         Walk -1.4% -1.7% 38%         In Play +2.8% -6.4% 39%         On Base +4.0% -4.8% 31%         Hit +5.4% -3.1% 14%         Single +2.6% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% +0.2% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -3.0%

History

Starling Marte has 1 plate appearance against Penn Murfee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.002
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-05-14Forceout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.