Matchup Machine

Starling Marte

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matchup for Dean Kremer

186th out of 436 (Best 43%)

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Dean Kremer

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matchup for Starling Marte

485th out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Moderate advantage for Kremer
3

Model Prediction

Starling Marte has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 3.3% lower than Marte's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Kremer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.6%23.0%2.4%4.1%16.5%6.5%26.5%
Marte-3.3-3.1-0.3-1.0-1.8-0.3+3.1
Kremer-0.6+2.5-0.4-0.2+3.2-3.1+1.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Starling Marte is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Marte has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Starling Marte has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Starling Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.4% -0.3% 5%         Walk -1.4% +0.8% 38%         In Play +2.8% -0.4% 39%         On Base +4.0% +1.3% 31%         Hit +5.4% +0.6% 14%         Single +2.6% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% +0.1% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.8%

History

Starling Marte has 2 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.050.000.000.050.023
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-04Groundout5%95%
2023-08-04Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.