Matchup Machine

Starling Marte

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

391st out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Starling Marte

35th out of 567 (Best 7%)

Extreme advantage for Marte
10

Model Prediction

Starling Marte has a 38.1% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 5.2% higher than Marte's typical expectations, and 3.9% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.1%28.4%3.4%6.0%19.1%9.7%20.1%
Marte+5.2+2.3+0.7+0.8+0.7+2.9-3.4
Flaherty+3.9+5.1-0.2+0.8+4.6-1.3-2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Starling Marte is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Marte has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Starling Marte has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Starling Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.4% +5.8% 5%         Walk -1.4% -1.5% 38%         In Play +2.8% -4.3% 39%         On Base +4.0% -2.0% 31%         Hit +5.4% -0.5% 14%         Single +2.6% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.2%

History

Starling Marte has 5 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with 2 doubles and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552020100.400
Expected From Contact →1.890.430.890.570.379
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-10-18Double24%7%69%
2024-10-18Double5%49%47%
2024-10-13Strikeout
2024-10-13Flyout27%19%54%
2024-10-13Flyout16%42%42%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.