Matchup Machine

Starling Marte

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matchup for C. Sanchez

327th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

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Cristopher Sanchez

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matchup for Starling Marte

448th out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Leans in favor of Sanchez
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Model Prediction

Starling Marte has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Cristopher Sanchez, which is 2.7% lower than Marte's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Sanchez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%25.4%2.2%4.9%18.3%4.8%23.6%
Marte-2.7-0.7-0.5-0.2+0.0-2.0+0.2
Sanchez+1.7+3.1-0.1-0.3+3.5-1.4-2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Starling Marte is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Cristopher Sanchez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Marte has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cristopher Sanchez throws a Sinker 49% of the time. Starling Marte has a C+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
49%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Slider (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Starling Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Cristopher Sanchez strikes out 14.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.4% -2.7% 5%         Walk -1.4% -2.4% 38%         In Play +2.8% +5.1% 39%         On Base +4.0% +1.4% 31%         Hit +5.4% +3.7% 14%         Single +2.6% +2.2% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% +2.6% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -1.0%

History

Starling Marte has 14 plate appearances against Cristopher Sanchez in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 13 with a home run, a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual14134112310.308
Expected From Contact →4.071.300.791.980.313
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-10-06Strikeout
2024-10-06Lineout19%15%65%
2024-09-20Single30%69%
2024-09-20Strikeout
2024-09-20Walk
2024-05-13Groundout28%72%
2024-05-13Double31%43%5%21%
2024-05-13Lineout23%77%
2023-06-24Lineout12%15%74%
2023-06-24Home Run99%
2022-05-08Pop Out3%97%
2022-05-01Single69%31%
2022-04-12Strikeout
2022-04-12Forceout3%11%86%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.