Matchup Machine

Starling Marte

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matchup for Seth Lugo

354th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Starling Marte

182nd out of 567 (Best 33%)

Strong advantage for Marte
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Model Prediction

Starling Marte has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 2.4% higher than Marte's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.3%29.8%3.1%4.7%21.9%5.6%24.5%
Marte+2.4+3.6+0.4-0.4+3.6-1.2+1.1
Lugo+2.9+5.80.0-0.2+6.0-3.0-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Starling Marte is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Marte has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Starling Marte has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Starling Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.4% +0.8% 5%         Walk -1.4% -2.3% 38%         In Play +2.8% +1.4% 39%         On Base +4.0% -0.4% 31%         Hit +5.4% +1.9% 14%         Single +2.6% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years