Matchup Machine

Starling Marte

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matchup for Caleb Thielbar

259th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Caleb Thielbar

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matchup for Starling Marte

348th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Moderate advantage for Marte
3

Model Prediction

Starling Marte has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 0.8% lower than Marte's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Thielbar.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%24.6%3.8%4.6%16.1%7.6%30.2%
Marte-0.8-1.6+1.1-0.5-2.2+0.8+6.8
Thielbar+0.3+2.8+0.5-0.4+2.7-2.5+2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Starling Marte is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Marte has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Starling Marte has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Slider (L)
29%
   Curve (L)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Starling Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.4% +5.2% 5%         Walk -1.4% +1.9% 38%         In Play +2.8% -7.1% 39%         On Base +4.0% -6.1% 31%         Hit +5.4% -8.0% 14%         Single +2.6% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% -3.9% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years