Matchup Machine

Jose Altuve

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matchup for Hunter Gaddis

346th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

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Hunter Gaddis

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matchup for Jose Altuve

481st out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Leans in favor of Gaddis
1

Model Prediction

Jose Altuve has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 4.2% lower than Altuve's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Gaddis.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.9%21.7%3.2%5.3%13.3%6.2%22.6%
Altuve-4.2-2.8+0.7-0.1-3.4-1.4+3.9
Gaddis+0.5+2.3+0.0+0.8+1.4-1.8-4.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Altuve is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Altuve has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Jose Altuve has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
39%
   Slider (R)
31%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

10.9% of Jose Altuve's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% -0.6% 5%         Walk -1.2% -1.7% 37%         In Play +7.3% +2.4% 39%         On Base +4.0% -5.5% 31%         Hit +5.2% -3.8% 14%         Single +2.4% -2.8% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% -2.4% 3%         Home Run +0.0% +1.5%

History

Jose Altuve has 3 plate appearances against Hunter Gaddis in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332011000.667
Expected From Contact →1.820.250.690.880.606
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-08-05Double25%68%1%6%
2022-08-05Single85%15%
2022-08-05Lineout2%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.