Matchup Machine

Jose Altuve

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matchup for Penn Murfee

368th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Penn Murfee

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matchup for Jose Altuve

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Altuve
2

Model Prediction

Jose Altuve has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Penn Murfee, which is 0.1% higher than Altuve's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Murfee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%22.6%2.3%4.8%15.5%9.4%22.1%
Altuve-0.1-1.9-0.2-0.6-1.1+1.8+3.3
Murfee+2.1+2.9-0.3+0.6+2.6-0.8-5.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Altuve is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Penn Murfee is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Altuve has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Penn Murfee throws a Slider 52% of the time. Jose Altuve has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   4-Seam (R)
41%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.9% of Jose Altuve's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Penn Murfee strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% +8.1% 5%         Walk -1.2% -1.7% 37%         In Play +7.3% -6.4% 39%         On Base +4.0% -4.8% 31%         Hit +5.2% -3.1% 14%         Single +2.4% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +0.0% -3.0%

History

Jose Altuve has 7 plate appearances against Penn Murfee in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 7.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual772002000.286
Expected From Contact →0.930.000.050.880.133
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-10-15Flyout1%98%
2022-07-31Single71%28%
2022-07-29Groundout2%5%93%
2022-07-28Flyout3%96%
2022-07-24Groundout4%96%
2022-07-22Single3%97%
2022-06-06Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.