Matchup Machine

Jose Altuve

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matchup for Jordan Hicks

286th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Jordan Hicks

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matchup for Jose Altuve

28th out of 567 (Best 6%)

Extreme advantage for Altuve
10

Model Prediction

Jose Altuve has a 38.9% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Hicks, which is 6.7% higher than Altuve's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Hicks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.9%27.1%2.3%5.0%19.8%11.8%16.7%
Altuve+6.7+2.6-0.2-0.3+3.1+4.1-2.1
Hicks+0.6+2.2-0.4-0.3+2.9-1.6-3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Altuve is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Hicks is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Altuve has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Hicks throws a Sinker 63% of the time. Jose Altuve has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
63%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Splitter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.9% of Jose Altuve's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Jordan Hicks strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% -1.7% 5%         Walk -1.2% +1.8% 37%         In Play +7.3% -0.1% 39%         On Base +4.0% +2.9% 31%         Hit +5.2% +1.1% 14%         Single +2.4% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.0% -0.4%

History

Jose Altuve has 3 plate appearances against Jordan Hicks in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.080.000.000.080.026
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-11Strikeout
2024-06-11Groundout8%92%
2024-06-11Bunt Groundout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.