Matchup Machine

Jose Altuve

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

364th out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Jose Altuve

317th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Moderate advantage for Altuve
4

Model Prediction

Jose Altuve has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.2% higher than Altuve's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.3%22.9%2.1%4.7%16.1%10.5%19.4%
Altuve+1.2-1.6-0.4-0.7-0.6+2.8+0.7
Schmidt+1.4+3.3-0.3+0.6+3.0-1.9-5.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Altuve is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Altuve has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Jose Altuve has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

10.9% of Jose Altuve's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% +0.3% 5%         Walk -1.2% +1.6% 37%         In Play +7.3% -1.9% 39%         On Base +4.0% -0.3% 31%         Hit +5.2% -2.0% 14%         Single +2.4% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.0% 0.0%

History

Jose Altuve has 6 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with a home run and a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual663111000.500
Expected From Contact →2.040.071.030.930.340
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-03-31Double88%10%2%
2024-03-31Home Run7%3%90%
2024-03-31Flyout99%
2023-08-03Forceout3%97%
2023-08-03Groundout2%98%
2023-08-03Single11%78%11%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.