Matchup Machine

Jose Altuve

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matchup for Logan Webb

343rd out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Jose Altuve

203rd out of 567 (Best 37%)

Strong advantage for Altuve
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Model Prediction

Jose Altuve has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 2.2% higher than Altuve's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.3%27.9%1.9%5.4%20.6%6.4%17.3%
Altuve+2.2+3.4-0.5+0.1+3.9-1.3-1.5
Webb+2.1+3.2-0.5+0.2+3.4-1.1-4.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Altuve is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Altuve has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Jose Altuve has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

10.9% of Jose Altuve's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% -0.8% 5%         Walk -1.2% -2.4% 37%         In Play +7.3% +3.2% 39%         On Base +4.0% +1.6% 31%         Hit +5.2% +4.0% 14%         Single +2.4% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +0.0% -1.3%

History

Jose Altuve has 3 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.730.590.090.040.242
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-12Flyout59%9%32%
2024-06-12Groundout3%97%
2024-06-12Groundout1%99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.