Matchup Machine

Jose Altuve

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

334th out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for Jose Altuve

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Altuve
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Model Prediction

Jose Altuve has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 3.1% higher than Altuve's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.3%25.4%2.4%5.4%17.6%9.8%19.5%
Altuve+3.1+0.9-0.1+0.1+0.9+2.2+0.8
Duffey+1.2+2.8-0.2+0.1+2.9-1.6-5.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Altuve is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Altuve has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Jose Altuve hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

10.9% of Jose Altuve's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% +3.7% 5%         Walk -1.2% -2.4% 37%         In Play +7.3% -1.3% 39%         On Base +4.0% -5.5% 31%         Hit +5.2% -3.1% 14%         Single +2.4% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +0.0% -0.5%

History

Jose Altuve has 1 plate appearance against Tyler Duffey in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.230.000.000.230.226
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-05-12GIDP23%77%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.