Matchup Machine

Jose Altuve

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

360th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Jose Altuve

75th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Extreme advantage for Altuve
9

Model Prediction

Jose Altuve has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.8% higher than Altuve's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.0%25.2%3.1%6.0%16.0%8.8%14.6%
Altuve+1.8+0.7+0.7+0.7-0.7+1.2-4.2
Anderson+0.2+2.9+0.2+0.8+1.9-2.7-7.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Altuve is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Altuve has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jose Altuve has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

10.9% of Jose Altuve's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% -1.9% 5%         Walk -1.2% -1.0% 37%         In Play +7.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base +4.0% -0.1% 31%         Hit +5.2% +0.9% 14%         Single +2.4% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.0% -0.2%

History

Jose Altuve has 15 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 6 for 14 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual15146015110.429
Expected From Contact →3.750.000.972.780.268
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-20Groundout3%10%86%
2024-09-20Strikeout
2024-09-14Single16%84%
2024-09-14Single3%66%31%
2024-09-14Pop Out100%
2024-06-08Single26%62%12%
2024-06-08Bunt Groundout
2024-06-08Single16%49%35%
2024-05-22Lineout10%18%71%
2024-05-22Groundout4%96%
2024-05-22Flyout1%99%
2024-05-22Groundout20%6%73%
2023-08-12Walk
2023-08-12Double16%8%76%
2023-08-12Single39%61%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.