Matchup Machine

Paul Goldschmidt

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

388th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for P. Goldschmidt

479th out of 567 (Worst 16%)

Leans in favor of Crochet
1

Model Prediction

Paul Goldschmidt has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 3.1% lower than Goldschmidt's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%24.1%3.2%6.1%14.9%6.3%33.5%
Goldschmidt-3.1-0.3+0.1+0.7-1.1-2.8+9.9
Crochet+2.9+3.2+0.7+1.0+1.4-0.2-1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Paul Goldschmidt is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Goldschmidt has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Paul Goldschmidt has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.0% of Paul Goldschmidt's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.7% +9.4% 5%         Walk -1.8% -1.3% 39%         In Play +1.1% -8.1% 39%         On Base +1.6% -3.9% 31%         Hit +3.4% -2.5% 14%         Single +0.2% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.7% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +2.5% +0.1%

History

Paul Goldschmidt has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.110.000.050.050.035
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-05Strikeout
2024-05-05Strikeout
2024-05-05Lineout5%5%89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.