Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Paul Goldschmidt

matchup for Dustin May

360th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

Dustin May

matchup for P. Goldschmidt

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Goldschmidt

Paul Goldschmidt has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Dustin May, which is 0.7% higher than Goldschmidt's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing May.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.2%	26.5%	3.0%	3.9%	19.6%	7.8%	22.8%
Goldschmidt	+0.7	+2.1	0.0	-1.5	+3.6	-1.3	-0.8
May	+2.1	+2.3	+0.5	-0.5	+2.3	-0.2	-0.5

Paul Goldschmidt is worse vs right-handed pitching. Dustin May is right handed .

Dustin May throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Paul Goldschmidt has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

42%

Cutter (R)

23%

Curve (R)

17%

4-Seam (R)

15%

12% of Dustin May's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Paul Goldschmidt has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-4%

43% of Dustin May's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Paul Goldschmidt has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 43%

+28%

Fastball (R) 79%

+26%

Extreme Fast Velo 22%

+19%

Just Gravity 32%

+18%

15.0% of Paul Goldschmidt's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Dustin May strikes out 21.6% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.7% +7.8% 5%

Walk -1.8% -3.5% 39%

In Play +1.1% -4.2% 39%

On Base +1.6% -4.8% 31%

Hit +3.4% -1.2% 14%

Single +0.2% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B +0.7% +0.1% 3%

Home Run +2.5% -2.0%

31.1% of Paul Goldschmidt's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Dustin May induces Standard Grounders at a 43.1% rate, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.3% +8.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.2% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer -4.4% +1.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.5% -2.4% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% -2.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.1% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout 0.0% -1.4% 3%

Pop up -0.7% -0.7%

33.7% of Paul Goldschmidt's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.4% higher than the league average. 20.9% of batted balls allowed by Dustin May are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.4% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.9% +0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.0% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.4% -3.4%

13.0% of Paul Goldschmidt's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. 9.3% of batted balls allowed by Dustin May are hit at this angle, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% +8.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.1% +3.1% 8%

1 to 6° +1.9% -3.2% 18%

7 to 18° +2.0% -1.8% 15%

19 to 28° +0.4% -1.6% 11%

29 to 38° +1.5% -2.1% 7%

39 to 50° +0.3% -0.1% 8%

Above 50° -1.7% -2.3%

Paul Goldschmidt has 3 plate appearances against Dustin May in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with 2 doubles and a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	2	2	0	2	0	0	1	1.000
Expected From Contact →			1.88	0.01	1.53	0.34			0.938

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-28	Double		65%	28%	7%
2023-04-28	Walk
2023-04-28	Double		88%	6%	5%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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