Matchup Machine

      Paul Goldschmidt

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      matchup for Jake Irvin

      392nd out of 436 (Worst 10%)

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      Jake Irvin

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      matchup for P. Goldschmidt

      72nd out of 564 (Best 14%)

      Extreme advantage for Goldschmidt
      10

      Model Prediction

      Paul Goldschmidt has a 36.3% chance of reaching base vs Jake Irvin, which is 2.8% higher than Goldschmidt's typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Irvin.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Paul Goldschmidt is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jake Irvin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Goldschmidt has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Jake Irvin throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Paul Goldschmidt has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      36%
         Curve (R)
      31%
         Sinker (R)
      26%

      Contact and Outcomes

      15.0% of Paul Goldschmidt's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Jake Irvin strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.7% -4.3% 5%         Walk -1.8% -0.5% 39%         In Play +1.1% +4.8% 39%         On Base +1.6% +1.3% 31%         Hit +3.4% +1.9% 14%         Single +0.2% +0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.7% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +2.5% +1.1%

      History

      Paul Goldschmidt has 4 plate appearances against Jake Irvin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual441001000.250
      Expected From Contact →1.490.180.450.860.373
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-07-27Lineout9%32%7%51%
      2024-07-27Flyout9%4%88%
      2023-07-15Groundout28%72%
      2023-07-15Single9%50%40%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.