Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Paul Goldschmidt

matchup for Freddy Peralta

337th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

Freddy Peralta

matchup for P. Goldschmidt

402nd out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Goldschmidt

Paul Goldschmidt has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 2.6% lower than Goldschmidt's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Peralta.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.9%	21.3%	4.7%	4.8%	11.7%	9.7%	30.0%
Goldschmidt	-2.6	-3.2	+1.3	-0.4	-4.1	+0.6	+6.1
Peralta	+0.3	+2.1	+1.7	0.0	+0.5	-1.8	+2.3

Paul Goldschmidt is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Goldschmidt has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Paul Goldschmidt has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

53%

Slider (R)

22%

Changeup (R)

14%

Curve (R)

11%

7% of Freddy Peralta's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Paul Goldschmidt has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

37% of Freddy Peralta's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Paul Goldschmidt has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 37%

+18%

Medium Ride 28%

+14%

15.2% of Paul Goldschmidt's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.6% of the batters he faces, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.0% +8.7% 5%

Walk -1.8% +1.1% 39%

In Play +0.8% -9.8% 39%

On Base -0.1% -6.5% 31%

Hit +1.8% -7.7% 14%

Single -0.4% -3.7% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% -3.7% 3%

Home Run +2.2% -0.3%

30.9% of Paul Goldschmidt's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.5% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta induces Standard Grounders at a 28.4% rate, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.5% -6.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.2% -2.2% 14%

Low Screamer -4.4% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% -2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.5% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% +0.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.1% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.1% +7.2% 3%

Pop up -0.6% +5.0%

33.8% of Paul Goldschmidt's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.5% higher than the league average. 22.1% of batted balls allowed by Freddy Peralta are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.5% +1.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.9% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.1% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% -0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.5% -2.2%

13.0% of Paul Goldschmidt's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 14.3% of batted balls allowed by Freddy Peralta are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.5% -4.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.1% -2.3% 8%

1 to 6° +1.9% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +2.0% -4.4% 15%

19 to 28° +0.4% +2.2% 11%

29 to 38° +1.6% +2.8% 7%

39 to 50° +0.3% +0.9% 8%

Above 50° -1.6% +5.9%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	22	21	3	0	3	0	7	1	0.143
Expected From Contact →			4.09	0.58	2.29	1.22			0.195

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Groundout
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2024-09-02	Flyout				99%
2024-09-02	Double	20%	43%	3%	34%
2024-09-02	Strikeout
2024-05-11	Strikeout
2024-05-11	Strikeout
2024-05-11	Strikeout
2024-04-19	Strikeout
2024-04-19	Groundout			71%	29%
2024-04-19	Groundout			16%	84%
2023-09-18	Groundout			3%	96%
2023-09-18	Strikeout
2023-09-18	Flyout				100%
2023-05-15	Walk
2023-05-15	Double		79%	12%	9%
2023-05-15	Flyout				100%
2023-04-09	Pop Out				99%
2023-04-09	Forceout			5%	95%
2023-04-09	Flyout	34%	21%		44%
2022-04-15	Groundout			7%	93%
2022-04-15	Double	3%	83%	4%	10%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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