Matchup Machine

Paul Goldschmidt

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

343rd out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for P. Goldschmidt

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Goldschmidt
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Model Prediction

Paul Goldschmidt has a 36.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 2.5% higher than Goldschmidt's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.0%24.3%2.8%5.5%16.0%11.7%24.3%
Goldschmidt+2.5-0.1-0.2+0.1+0.0+2.6+0.6
Duffey+1.9+1.6+0.2+0.2+1.2+0.3-0.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Paul Goldschmidt is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Goldschmidt has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Paul Goldschmidt hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

15.0% of Paul Goldschmidt's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.7% +3.7% 5%         Walk -1.8% -2.4% 39%         In Play +1.1% -1.3% 39%         On Base +1.6% -5.5% 31%         Hit +3.4% -3.1% 14%         Single +0.2% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.7% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +2.5% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years