Matchup Machine

Paul Goldschmidt

Worst 1% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 4% of matchups for P. Goldschmidt

Extreme advantage for Goldschmidt

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	5.9%	4.5%	14.4%	11.1%	17.5%
MLB (+/-)	+3.1	+0.2	+0.4	+1.3	-7.7
Goldschmidt	+1.8	+0.3	+2.5	-2.2	-10.4
Gomber	+2.7	+0.1	-1.8	+3.2	+1.2

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

5.9%

4.5%

14.4%

11.1%

17.5%

MLB (+/-)

+3.1

+0.2

+0.4

+1.3

-7.7

Goldschmidt

+1.8

+0.3

+2.5

-2.2

-10.4

Gomber

+2.7

+0.1

-1.8

+3.2

+1.2

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	10	10	2	0	2	0	3	0	.200
Expected From Contact →			2.32	0.89	0.79	0.64			.232

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-06	Flyout				100%
2023-08-06	Strikeout
2023-08-06	Double	3%	75%	16%	6%
2022-08-18	Double	87%	2%		11%
2022-08-18	Groundout			3%	97%
2022-08-10	Strikeout
2022-08-10	Flyout				100%
2021-05-07	Strikeout
2021-05-07	Forceout			44%	55%
2021-05-07	Pop Out				100%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐	45%	70	RHB vs LHP	-14	80%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐

45%

RHB vs LHP

-14

80%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	48%	45	Fastball	16	45%
	24%	46	Breaking	-26	37%
⭐	6%	69	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
	50%	46	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
	44%	29	Slider	-6	20%
⭐⭐	45%	83	Changeup	0	18%
	62%	7	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

48%

Fastball

45%

24%

Breaking

-26

37%

⭐

Offspeed

18%

------------------

50%

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

Slider

-6

20%

⭐⭐

45%

Changeup

18%

62%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	63%	22	Bottom of zone	13	13%
	67%	29	Top of zone	-3	12%
	54%	11	Away / Arm Side	9	11%
⭐⭐	63%	103	In / Glove Side	-29	10%
	48%	29	Middle	-23	7%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

63%

Bottom of zone

13%

67%

Top of zone

-3

12%

54%

Away / Arm Side

11%

⭐⭐

63%

103

In / Glove Side

-29

10%

48%

Middle

-23

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	34%	87	Below the zone	22	30%
	38%	31	In / Glove Side	30	24%
⭐	36%	67	Above the zone	8	24%
⭐	27%	65	Away / Arm Side	-3	22%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

34%

Below the zone

30%

38%

In / Glove Side

24%

⭐

36%

Above the zone

24%

⭐

27%

Away / Arm Side

-3

22%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	27%	75	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐	51%	67	Batter Behind	0	28%
	50%	-4	Batter Ahead	4	26%
	60%	57	2 Strikes	-23	26%
	54%	38	3 Balls	2	8%
	65%	17	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

27%

First Pitch

28%

⭐

51%

Batter Behind

28%

50%

-4

Batter Ahead

26%

60%

2 Strikes

-23

26%

54%

3 Balls

65%

Full Count

-9