Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Paul Goldschmidt

matchup for Marcus Stroman

347th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

Marcus Stroman

matchup for P. Goldschmidt

33rd out of 567 (Best 7%)

Extreme advantage for Goldschmidt

Paul Goldschmidt has a 39.8% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 6.3% higher than Goldschmidt's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Stroman.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	39.8%	30.8%	3.0%	5.4%	22.4%	9.0%	18.2%
Goldschmidt	+6.3	+6.4	-0.1	0.0	+6.5	-0.1	-5.4
Stroman	+2.2	+1.9	+0.3	-0.5	+2.1	+0.3	+0.1

Paul Goldschmidt is worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Goldschmidt has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Paul Goldschmidt has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

40%

Slider (R)

18%

Cutter (R)

15%

Splitter (R)

11%

Curve (R)

10%

4-Seam (R)

22% of Marcus Stroman's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Paul Goldschmidt has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

37% of Marcus Stroman's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Paul Goldschmidt has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 37%

+24%

Medium Velo 29%

+18%

15.0% of Paul Goldschmidt's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.7% -3.1% 5%

Walk -1.8% -0.8% 39%

In Play +1.1% +3.9% 39%

On Base +1.6% +3.0% 31%

Hit +3.4% +3.8% 14%

Single +0.2% +2.4% 13%

2B / 3B +0.7% +2.4% 3%

Home Run +2.5% -1.1%

31.1% of Paul Goldschmidt's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman induces Standard Grounders at a 43.6% rate, which is 9.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.3% +9.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.2% +4.1% 14%

Low Screamer -4.4% -1.9% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% +0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.5% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% -1.4% 1%

No Doubter +1.1% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout 0.0% -6.1% 3%

Pop up -0.7% -1.9%

33.7% of Paul Goldschmidt's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.4% higher than the league average. 28.8% of batted balls allowed by Marcus Stroman are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.4% -1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.9% +0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.0% -1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.4% +4.4%

13.0% of Paul Goldschmidt's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. 7.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcus Stroman are hit at this angle, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% +7.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.1% +3.2% 8%

1 to 6° +1.9% +2.6% 18%

7 to 18° +2.0% +0.5% 15%

19 to 28° +0.4% -2.6% 11%

29 to 38° +1.5% -4.0% 7%

39 to 50° +0.3% -2.6% 8%

Above 50° -1.7% -4.4%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	24	22	10	2	2	6	4	2	0.455
Expected From Contact →			8.50	1.47	1.73	5.30			0.386

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-30	Double	21%	69%		9%
2024-08-30	Single			83%	17%
2024-08-30	Single			91%	8%
2023-07-20	Single			9%	91%
2023-07-20	Single			45%	54%
2023-07-20	GIDP			8%	92%
2023-06-25	Groundout
2023-06-25	Single
2023-06-25	Strikeout
2023-05-08	Strikeout
2023-05-08	Strikeout
2023-05-08	Groundout			34%	66%
2022-09-04	Strikeout
2022-09-04	Double		43%	37%	20%
2022-09-04	Groundout			74%	26%
2022-08-25	Strikeout Double Play
2022-08-25	Walk
2022-08-25	Single		3%	39%	58%
2022-08-04	Home Run	86%	3%		11%
2022-08-04	Pop Out				100%
2022-08-04	Groundout			4%	96%
2022-06-03	Home Run	40%	49%		11%
2022-06-03	Walk
2022-06-03	Groundout		4%	4%	92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe