Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

J.D. Martinez

matchup for Shota Imanaga

256th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

Shota Imanaga

matchup for J.D. Martinez

275th out of 567 (Best 49%)

Leans in favor of Martinez

J.D. Martinez has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Shota Imanaga, which is 2.7% lower than Martinez's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Imanaga.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.0%	21.8%	4.0%	6.0%	11.8%	8.2%	32.4%
Martinez	-2.7	+0.6	+1.3	+1.3	-1.9	-3.3	+0.5
Imanaga	+1.2	-0.3	+0.5	+0.0	-0.8	+1.4	+7.7

J.D. Martinez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Shota Imanaga is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Martinez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Shota Imanaga throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. J.D. Martinez has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

52%

Splitter (L)

31%

Slider (L)

10% of Shota Imanaga's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. J.D. Martinez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 10%

+4%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-5%

62% of Shota Imanaga's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 40% higher than the MLB average. J.D. Martinez has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 62%

+40%

Offspeed (L) 35%

+22%

Very Slow Velo 36%

+20%

High Ride 27%

+17%

17.6% of J.D. Martinez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Shota Imanaga strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.0% +0.2% 3%

Walk +3.5% -2.9% 43%

In Play -8.4% +2.7% 39%

On Base +2.9% -5.5% 31%

Hit -0.6% -2.6% 14%

Single -0.7% -2.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.4% -1.5% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +0.9%

29.8% of J.D. Martinez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Shota Imanaga induces Standard Grounders at a 30.5% rate, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.6% -3.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.1% -0.9% 14%

Low Screamer -2.7% -2.7% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% -1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +3.7% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.6% +5.3% 3%

Pop up -1.7% +3.0%

36.3% of J.D. Martinez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.0% higher than the league average. 19.3% of batted balls allowed by Shota Imanaga are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.4% -4.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.2% -4.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% +3.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.9% +9.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +12.0% -5.1%

14.0% of J.D. Martinez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 15.5% of batted balls allowed by Shota Imanaga are hit at this angle, which is 4.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -5.1% +1.3% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.5% +1.7% 8%

1 to 6° +0.1% -7.6% 18%

7 to 18° +1.1% -3.9% 15%

19 to 28° +3.4% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° +2.5% +4.1% 7%

39 to 50° +0.2% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° -2.7% +4.2%

J.D. Martinez has 6 plate appearances against Shota Imanaga in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a home run, a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	5	2	1	0	1	3	1	0.400
Expected From Contact →			1.53	0.40	0.42	0.71			0.307

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-21	Home Run	40%	41%		18%
2024-06-21	Strikeout
2024-06-21	Single		1%	70%	28%
2024-05-01	Strikeout
2024-05-01	Strikeout
2024-05-01	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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