Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

J.D. Martinez

matchup for Jared Jones

83rd out of 436 (Best 20%)

Jared Jones

matchup for J.D. Martinez

455th out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Moderate advantage for Jones

J.D. Martinez has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.6% lower than Martinez's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.1%	18.1%	3.0%	3.6%	11.5%	12.0%	40.1%
Martinez	-2.6	-3.1	+0.2	-1.1	-2.2	+0.5	+8.2
Jones	-0.9	-2.7	+0.0	-1.4	-1.3	+1.8	+11.5

J.D. Martinez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Martinez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. J.D. Martinez has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. J.D. Martinez has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. J.D. Martinez has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

17.6% of J.D. Martinez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.0% +0.4% 3%

Walk +3.5% +0.6% 43%

In Play -8.4% -1.1% 39%

On Base +2.9% -0.1% 31%

Hit -0.6% -0.8% 14%

Single -0.7% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.4% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +0.9%

29.8% of J.D. Martinez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.6% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.1% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.7% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +3.7% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.6% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -1.7% +2.5%

36.3% of J.D. Martinez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.0% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.4% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.2% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.9% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +12.0% +0.4%

14.0% of J.D. Martinez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%