Matchup Machine

J.D. Martinez

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matchup for Slade Cecconi

250th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Slade Cecconi

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matchup for J.D. Martinez

149th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Strong advantage for Martinez
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Model Prediction

J.D. Martinez has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Slade Cecconi, which is 1.0% higher than Martinez's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Cecconi.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.6%25.5%3.3%6.7%15.5%8.2%30.7%
Martinez+1.0+4.4+0.6+2.0+1.7-3.4-1.1
Cecconi+2.0+0.2+0.0+0.6-0.5+1.9+8.7

Handedness and Release Point

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J.D. Martinez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Slade Cecconi is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Martinez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Slade Cecconi throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. J.D. Martinez has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Changeup (R)
10%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

17.6% of J.D. Martinez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Slade Cecconi strikes out 11.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% -4.8% 3%         Walk +3.5% -4.3% 43%         In Play -8.4% +9.0% 39%         On Base +2.9% -1.5% 31%         Hit -0.6% +2.8% 14%         Single -0.7% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.6% +1.4%

History

J.D. Martinez has 2 plate appearances against Slade Cecconi in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010000.500
Expected From Contact →1.020.100.720.200.512
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-01Groundout1%19%80%
2024-06-01Double10%71%1%18%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.