Matchup Machine

J.D. Martinez

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

241st out of 436 (Worst 45%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for J.D. Martinez

487th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
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Model Prediction

J.D. Martinez has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.1% lower than Martinez's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.5%20.6%2.4%5.6%12.6%8.0%41.5%
Martinez-4.1-0.6-0.3+0.9-1.2-3.6+9.6
Crochet+1.1-0.4-0.1+0.6-0.9+1.5+6.2

Handedness and Release Point

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J.D. Martinez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Martinez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. J.D. Martinez has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.6% of J.D. Martinez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% +9.4% 3%         Walk +3.5% -1.3% 43%         In Play -8.4% -8.1% 39%         On Base +2.9% -3.9% 31%         Hit -0.6% -2.5% 14%         Single -0.7% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.6% +0.1%

History

J.D. Martinez has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-01Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.