Matchup Machine

J.D. Martinez

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

140th out of 436 (Best 33%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for J.D. Martinez

394th out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Schmidt
3

Model Prediction

J.D. Martinez has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.5% lower than Martinez's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%17.5%2.2%3.9%11.4%14.7%34.2%
Martinez-0.5-3.6-0.5-0.8-2.3+3.1+2.4
Schmidt+0.2-2.1-0.2-0.2-1.7+2.3+9.2

Handedness and Release Point

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J.D. Martinez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Martinez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. J.D. Martinez has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

17.6% of J.D. Martinez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.0% +0.3% 3%         Walk +3.5% +1.6% 43%         In Play -8.4% -1.9% 39%         On Base +2.9% -0.3% 31%         Hit -0.6% -2.0% 14%         Single -0.7% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.6% 0.0%

History

J.D. Martinez has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.001
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-09-14Strikeout
2022-04-10Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.