Matchup Machine

Tommy Pham

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matchup for Tobias Myers

384th out of 436 (Worst 12%)

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Tobias Myers

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matchup for Tommy Pham

99th out of 567 (Best 18%)

Strong advantage for Pham
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Model Prediction

Tommy Pham has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Tobias Myers, which is 1.9% higher than Pham's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Myers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.4%25.8%2.9%6.7%16.3%8.6%21.3%
Pham+1.9+3.4+0.7+1.7+1.1-1.5-1.4
Myers+2.7+1.6-0.1+0.6+1.1+1.1-3.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Tommy Pham is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tobias Myers is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Pham has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tobias Myers throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Tommy Pham has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Cutter (R)
22%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Tommy Pham's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Tobias Myers strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.2% -1.6% 5%         Walk -1.5% -1.7% 38%         In Play +2.6% +3.3% 39%         On Base +4.2% +0.5% 31%         Hit +5.7% +2.2% 14%         Single +2.9% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.7% +0.5%

History

Tommy Pham has 6 plate appearances against Tobias Myers in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual663003100.500
Expected From Contact →2.690.000.192.500.448
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-21Single10%85%5%
2024-08-21Sac Fly2%97%
2024-08-21Caught Stealing 2B
2024-05-31Strikeout
2024-05-31Single4%87%9%
2024-05-31Single3%78%20%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.